User blog comment:Fliu/The Reasons Big Mom Has To Go Down/@comment-24769684-20170313015350

I don't think Bege's plan will totally fail. If anything it'll give the Straw Hats and Vinsmokes room to escape. But regardless of what happens, I don't expect Big Mom to go down, because it all boils down to Kaido.

Kaido is a super big bad that we've spent nearly 200 chapters seeing the characters in their quest to take him down. They've spent that long building a ridiculously large alliance full of some of the New World's strongest pirates, with a Yonko crew remnant likely joining in the future, and even then they're in for the fight of their lives.

Of course, I get that not all conflicts will be on a level playing field. Big Mom, powerful as she may be, is still mortal and is not immune to every advanced tactic like characters from Death Note are. Kizaru fought multiple Supernovas at once without breaking a sweat, but was almost killed by Apoo's surprise attack. People going down like that is legit, and I expect Big Mom to at least be at some sort of disadvantage once the plan is put into action.

But regardless of how she is taken down the result would still be the same. If she is defeated, unless drastic measures are taken, she will lose all her power. The world will become absolute chaos with a significant portion of the world becoming lawless and up for the taking for those who remain in power. Fishman Island will once again be assaulted by pirates and slave traders. The only reason there wasn't some huge war during the timeskip over Whitebeard's territories was because Blackbeard, the main instigator of the whole thing, came out well equipped to take Whitebeard's place. We know that Bege is doing this because he wants to see this titanic power struggle happen. Luffy not only has no desire to rule over people, but he would never be able to enter a full-out war against a Yonko's crew with the forces he has now. Even so, he will still be targeted by not only the other Yonko, but by the strongest Marines as well.

Now, I fully expect this to happen, but not until Luffy has beaten Kaido. Effects on this massive of a scale need to come from something that's had a ton of buildup to match it. You have hundreds of chapters of the plot to take out Kaido being executed, in contrast to Luffy declaring war on Big Mom and one chapter and then making a spur of the moment decision on Zou to rescue Sanji from her clutches.

If Luffy takes down Kaido after Big Mom, we will essentially be left with nothing. Another Yonko will be taken down and the world will plunge further into chaos, but we'll be used to it at that point. When Luffy took down Moriah, there was very little of an "oh shit he took down a Shichibukai!" reaction, since Luffy had already beaten a Shichibukai to a much more massive reaction. Moriah's defeat served its own purposes in the story, but right now it seems much more obvious that the campaign against Kaido is much more similar to the campaign against Crocodile. You even have Kaido-oppressed royalty accompanying the Straw Hats here. Ever since Punk Hazard, the Straw Hats have been preparing to take their first monumentous step in the New World by taking down Kaido. Once they do that, nothing would be the same. So for this effect to happen earlier and more sudden with Big Mom involved instead is much, much cheaper.